ECONOMICS

While Apple's Tim Cook was adamant on the call last night that he had seen no 'pull forward' of demand due to the tariffs, it seems every other firm in the US did as Durable Goods Orders soared in March (final print this morning at +9.2% MoM)…

Source: Bloomberg

However, Core Durable Goods (ex Transports) was unchanged MoM – suggesting considerable front-running of tariffs for planes and autos…

Source: Bloomberg

US Factory Orders rose 4.3% MoM (more…)

It's an old dictum but it remains true that you never want to interrupt your enemies when they are making a mistake.  That said, it's oh so tempting to analyze the behavior of the Democratic Party as a perfect representation of blind cultism.  How did they plunge from the heights of the Obama Administration and near complete control of American culture to the depths of the Biden Administration, the Kamala Harris campaign and the degeneracy of woke groomers?

One could follow the (more…)

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog,

Until values, priorities and incentives change, "the lifestyle you ordered is currently out of stock and on back order, with no estimate of a future delivery date."

The ultimate winners and losers in reshoring supply chains to North America have yet to be determined, and may change depending on the time frame. In the short-term, there are ample reasons to reckon consumers will be the losers as shortages and price-gouging (more…)