ECONOMICS

Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,

The risk of a recession in the U.S. is not zero. This is particularly true as the current Administration tackles Government bloat and implements tariffs. However, before we discuss why the risk of a recession could increase, it is crucial to remember the 2022 experience. At that time, most economists were convinced a “recession was imminent.” As discussed in early 2023, it was the most anticipated recession ever.

The economy printed very weak quarterly reports in early 2022. Therefore, it was just a function of time before the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) announced it.

Yet, (more…)

Submitted by Dhaval Joshi via BCAResearch.com,

President Trump is hosting Prime Minister Starmer in the White House today. Yet the most pressing issue that they will likely not discuss is that both the US and the UK are staring down the barrel of what I have called a ‘mini-stagflation’ – a period of inflation stuck well above 2 percent combined with slowing growth. 

Meanwhile, in the euro area and Japan, the pre-pandemic era of ‘too low’ inflation is well and truly over (more…)

Submitted by Jim Bovard

High inflation spurred Donald Trump’s defeat of Kamala Harris last November. The economy was the top issue for most voters, and inflation was the top economic issue. As Biden’s partner in economic crime, Harris could not escape the blame for the torpedoing of the dollar’s value in recent years.

Inflation occurs when the government prints excessive currency, resulting in more money chasing the same amount of goods and services. Nobel Laureate economist  (more…)