
Former President Donald Trump's landslide victory in Iowa last night left no doubt that he'll be the party's nominee against President Joe Biden in the general election. With 97% of the votes counted, Trump came in at 51%.

Former President Donald Trump speaks at his caucus night event at the Iowa Events Center in Des Moines, Iowa, on Jan. 15, 2024. (Alex Wong/Getty Images)
Coming in second was Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (21.2%), followed by former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley (19.1%) – who fell below expectations based on recent polls which had her in second place. Vivek Ramaswamy came in fourth, after which he dropped out. Notably, Trump's 30-point victory is the largest in the history of the Iowa caucuses.
Results for Trump and Haley were roughly in line with recent polling, reducing the odds of a momentum-driven surprise in next week's New Hampshire primary, according to Goldman.

That said, Haley has substantially more support in New Hampshire than DeSantis – as recent polls have Trump at around 44%, Haley at 29%, and DeSantis at 7%. Goldman suggests however that DeSantis' strong showing in Florida may translate to a (more…)