ECONOMICS

After four months of declines in the 1-Year inflation expectation as reported by the NY Fed's consumer survey, August saw a reversal in this series which traditionally is also a proxy for the price of oil (which just hit a 2023 high this morning), however this was offset by a small decline in 3 year inflation expectations. However, the most concerning observations was that the inflation outlook at the 5-year point hit the highest since march 2022 while households turned even less (more…)

By John Kingston of FreightWaves

Truck transportation jobs plummeted in August, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, with the likelihood that the demise of Yellow Corp. was largely responsible for sending the employment total down by 36,700 employees.

To put that drop in perspective, in the past 10 years the only month with a larger decline was April 2020, when the economy took the full blow from the start of the pandemic. Truck transportation jobs on a seasonal basis (more…)

While the prevailing post-payrolls narrative has focused on the divergence between the stronger than expected (if soon to be revised lower) headline payrolls print (which at 187K came in just above expectations of 170K but followed two sharply downward revised months) and the unexpected spike in the unemployment rate from 3.5% to 3.8%, the highest since Feb 2022, a closer look at the details of today's jobs report reveals just how ugly the reality behind the the Budget-Busting Bidenomics (more…)